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Ghana’s T-Bill Market Returns to Oversubscription as Yields Climb Across All Tenors

Ghana’s Treasury bill market staged a recovery at the latest auction, swinging back to oversubscription following two consecutive weeks of soft investor demand. The rebound, however, came with a notable trade-off: borrowing costs climbed across all tenors, underscoring the volatile conditions in the government’s domestic financing window.

According to the Bank of Ghana auction report, the government sought to raise GH¢5.442 billion but received bids totalling GH¢5.887 billion, an oversubscription of GH¢444.86 million or 8.17 percent. The Treasury accepted GH¢5.832 billion of the bids, exceeding its target by GH¢389.86 million.

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The 91-day bill attracted the strongest demand, drawing GH¢3.6 billion in bids. The 182-day instrument received GH¢1.7 billion, while the 364-day bill garnered GH¢816 million. The result marked a sharp turnaround from the two preceding auctions, both of which had fallen short of government targets.

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Yet the return to oversubscription was accompanied by rising yields, a signal that investors are demanding higher compensation despite their renewed appetite for government paper. The yield on the 91-day bill edged up from 4.9901 percent to 5.0116 percent. The 182-day bill rose from 7.0434 percent to 7.0948 percent. The sharpest increase came on the 364-day bill, which climbed from 10.4593 percent to 10.8388 percent.

Market observers speaking to Accra Street Journal noted that the mixed signals reflect a domestic debt market that remains highly sensitive to liquidity conditions and investor expectations. While the oversubscription offers some relief for government cash-flow management, the upward drift in yields suggests that securing funds may become more expensive in the near term.

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The stop-start pattern evident in recent auctions presents a challenge for fiscal authorities. Consistent access to domestic financing is critical for meeting expenditure commitments, servicing obligations, and implementing government programmes. Frequent swings between undersubscription and oversubscription complicate planning and make cash management less predictable.

Nevertheless, the latest auction provides evidence that investor demand for Treasury securities has not evaporated. The willingness of investors to submit bids above the government’s target suggests confidence remains intact, even as market participants successfully push for better returns.

The coming weeks will determine whether this oversubscription marks the beginning of a sustained recovery in demand or simply another twist in an increasingly unpredictable T-bill market.

Source: Accra Street Journal 

Last Updated on June 8, 2026 by Samuel Kwame Boadu

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